1. Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander OVER 31.5 points (‑115)
League scoring champ at 32.7 PPG this season and has cleared 31.5 in each of his last two playoff outings.
Minnesota’s scheme drops bigs and funnels drives; SGA averaged 34.0 PPG in the three regular‑season meetings.
2. Anthony Edwards OVER 6.5 rebounds (+104)
Edwards’ rebounding ticked up versus small‑ball lineups—he’s 5‑of‑7 to the over this postseason.
Thunder play two skinny 7‑footers and switch a ton, pulling Minnesota’s bigs away from the rim and leaving boards for Ant.
3. Rudy Gobert UNDER 9.5 points (‑120)
OKC will stick Chet on Towns and leave Isaiah Hartenstein to roam; Gobert’s touches shrink against that look (averaged 8.9 PPG in season series).
Bettors are pounding this number; a four‑star play from SBR’s prop sheet.
4. Chet Holmgren OVER 1.5 made 3‑pointers (+160)
Minnesota’s twin‑tower frontline dares stretch‑5s to shoot—Holmgren was 6‑for‑15 from deep across the regular‑season matchup set.
5. Mike Conley OVER 3.5 assists (‑120)
High pick‑and‑roll volume vs. OKC’s drop coverage keeps the ball in his hands; he’s logged 4+ dimes in 10 of his last 12 playoff games.
Quick slate notes
Pace projects to be league‑average (OKC 14th, MIN 22nd), but both offenses create plenty of half‑court actions that feed these specific stat categories.
Lines can move quickly on playoff days—confirm prices and limits before locking anything in.
As always, bet responsibly and in accordance with your bankroll plan. Good luck! Don’t forgot to share The Bettor Briefing with your friends!